Notes for Basic Tables E1-E20: (1) the following analysis is based on the CORE MODEL: t1 + t2 + pcs1 + pcs2 + pcs3 + pcs4 + pcs5 + pcs6 + pcs7 + pcs8 + ps1 + ps2 + ps3 + ps4 + ps5 + ps6 + ps7 + ps8 + I1 + I2 + I3 + I4 + I5 + I6 + holiday1 + holiday2 + influ + temperature + humidity.
(2) t1, t2 denotes linear and quadratic time trend respectively.
(3) I1, I2, I3, I4, I5, I6 denote the dummy variables as days of the week (Monday to Saturday) effects (Sunday as reference day).
(4) holiday1, holiday2 denotes the dummy variables as holidays and day after holiday effects respectively.
(5) influ denotes the dummy variables (value one for the week if the weekly influenza counts are more than 75% of that year) as influenza epidemic corresponded to the 1995, 1996, 1997 year.
(6) temperature denotes the daily mean temperature of the current day.
(7) humidity denotes the daily mean relative humidity of the current day.
(8) All core models were checked by residual plot, partial autocorrelation plot.
(9) All core models were performed using Poisson regression to obtain estimates; but multiple linear regression on log transformed counts of different outcomes was also used in order to obtain R2.
Table E1: No. of cycles per year for Core Models (before adding the pollutant):
(Mostly eight (except nine for respiratory, 75+ years and IHD, 65-74 years) cyclical patterns were identified by Spectral Analysis for the different outcomes. And the numbers of cycles per year were expressed in terms of values of k which were presented in increasing order of their spectral index in the table)
| Outcome |
no. of cycles per year (in terms of k)
|
|
R2 |
| Respiratory, all ages |
1.00 |
0.66 |
2.99 |
2.32 |
1.66 |
0.33 |
4.98 |
1.33 |
|
0.68 |
| <15 |
1.00 |
1.99 |
0.66 |
3.32 |
1.66 |
1.33 |
4.98 |
0.33 |
|
0.58 |
| 15-64 |
1.00 |
0.66 |
2.99 |
1.66 |
4.98 |
2.32 |
0.33 |
1.33 |
|
0.46 |
| 65-74 |
1.00 |
0.66 |
0.33 |
2.99 |
1.66 |
2.32 |
4.98 |
1.33 |
|
0.46 |
| 75+ |
1.00 |
0.66 |
0.33 |
2.32 |
2.99 |
1.66 |
3.98 |
5.98 |
1.33 |
0.6 |
| COPD |
1.00 |
0.66 |
2.99 |
0.33 |
4.98 |
2.32 |
1.66 |
1.33 |
|
0.53 |
| Asthma, all ages |
1.00 |
1.99 |
4.98 |
0.33 |
2.66 |
0.66 |
1.66 |
1.33 |
|
0.41 |
| <15 |
1.99 |
1.00 |
0.66 |
4.98 |
0.33 |
2.66 |
1.66 |
1.33 |
|
0.44 |
| 15-64 |
1.00 |
4.98 |
1.99 |
2.66 |
0.33 |
1.66 |
1.33 |
0.66 |
|
0.17 |
| Cardiac, all ages |
1.00 |
0.33 |
0.66 |
2.99 |
4.98 |
1.33 |
2.32 |
1.66 |
|
0.72 |
| 15-64 |
0.33 |
1.00 |
0.66 |
2.99 |
4.98 |
1.33 |
2.32 |
1.66 |
|
0.69 |
| 65-74 |
1.00 |
1.33 |
2.32 |
5.64 |
0.66 |
2.99 |
1.66 |
0.33 |
|
0.51 |
| 75+ |
1.00 |
0.33 |
0.66 |
1.99 |
1.33 |
2.99 |
4.98 |
1.66 |
|
0.5 |
| IHD, all ages |
1.00 |
0.66 |
5.64 |
0.33 |
1.66 |
1.33 |
2.32 |
3.65 |
|
0.56 |
| 15-64 |
1.00 |
5.64 |
1.66 |
0.66 |
2.32 |
0.33 |
1.33 |
3.65 |
|
0.51 |
| 65-74 |
1.00 |
1.33 |
1.66 |
5.64 |
2.66 |
1.99 |
3.65 |
0.66 |
0.33 |
0.37 |
| 75+ |
1.00 |
0.66 |
0.33 |
1.99 |
4.98 |
1.66 |
2.66 |
1.33 |
|
0.17 |
| Respiratory death, all ages |
1.00 |
0.66 |
1.99 |
2.66 |
4.98 |
0.33 |
1.66 |
1.33 |
|
0.26 |
| Circulatory death, all ages |
1.00 |
0.66 |
1.99 |
0.33 |
4.98 |
2.66 |
1.33 |
1.66 |
|
0.21 |
Note: includes those values of k <= 6.
Table E2: Core model for admissions due to respiratory disease, all ages
Residual Standard Error = 0.106, Multiple R-Square = 0.6797
N = 1096, F-statistic = 78.0157 on 29 and 1066 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
5.4118
|
0.2131
|
25.3956
|
0.0000
|
| t1 |
-0.0027
|
0.0011
|
-2.3652
|
0.0180
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
2.7327
|
0.0063
|
| pcs1 |
-0.0048
|
0.0173
|
-0.2773
|
0.7815
|
| pcs2 |
-0.0582
|
0.0321
|
-1.8092
|
0.0704
|
| pcs3 |
-0.0196
|
0.0049
|
-4.0229
|
0.0001
|
| pcs4 |
-0.0293
|
0.0051
|
-5.7234
|
0.0000
|
| pcs5 |
0.0185
|
0.0067
|
2.7668
|
0.0057
|
| pcs6 |
-0.3778
|
0.1279
|
-2.9538
|
0.0031
|
| pcs7 |
-0.0006
|
0.0045
|
-0.1359
|
0.8919
|
| pcs8 |
-0.0028
|
0.0093
|
-0.2977
|
0.7659
|
| ps1 |
0.1880
|
0.0073
|
25.6602
|
0.0000
|
| ps2 |
0.0093
|
0.0079
|
1.1860
|
0.2356
|
| ps3 |
-0.0335
|
0.0048
|
-6.9367
|
0.0000
|
| ps4 |
-0.0142
|
0.0053
|
-2.6821
|
0.0073
|
| ps5 |
0.0470
|
0.0052
|
9.0138
|
0.0000
|
| ps6 |
0.0813
|
0.0135
|
6.0386
|
0.0000
|
| ps7 |
-0.0353
|
0.0046
|
-7.6310
|
0.0000
|
| ps8 |
0.0274
|
0.0056
|
4.8885
|
0.0000
|
| I1 |
0.1292
|
0.0118
|
10.9891
|
0.0000
|
| I2 |
0.0659
|
0.0121
|
5.4652
|
0.0000
|
| I3 |
0.0737
|
0.0119
|
6.1835
|
0.0000
|
| I4 |
0.0623
|
0.0120
|
5.1942
|
0.0000
|
| I5 |
0.0031
|
0.0122
|
0.2546
|
0.7991
|
| I6 |
-0.0090
|
0.0122
|
-0.7377
|
0.4607
|
| holiday1 |
-0.0270
|
0.0134
|
-2.0066
|
0.0448
|
| holiday2 |
0.1043
|
0.0193
|
5.3928
|
0.0000
|
| influ |
0.0757
|
0.0101
|
7.5012
|
0.0000
|
| temperature |
0.0119
|
0.0015
|
7.8817
|
0.0000
|
| humidity |
-0.0013
|
0.0004
|
-3.6649
|
0.0002
|
Table E3: Core model for admissions due to respiratory disease, younger than 15 age group
Residual Standard Error = 0.1611, Multiple R-Square = 0.5772
N = 1096, F-statistic = 50.1842 on 29 and 1066 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
2.6635
|
0.3881
|
6.8637
|
0.0000
|
| t1 |
0.0057
|
0.0020
|
2.7963
|
0.0052
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
-2.4056
|
0.0161
|
| pcs1 |
0.0443
|
0.0305
|
1.4499
|
0.1471
|
| pcs2 |
-0.0180
|
0.0093
|
-1.9280
|
0.0539
|
| pcs3 |
0.1879
|
0.0565
|
3.3269
|
0.0009
|
| pcs4 |
0.0356
|
0.0073
|
4.8611
|
0.0000
|
| pcs5 |
0.0523
|
0.0111
|
4.7112
|
0.0000
|
| pcs6 |
0.0722
|
0.0152
|
4.7526
|
0.0000
|
| pcs7 |
-0.0085
|
0.0068
|
-1.2490
|
0.2117
|
| pcs8 |
0.5413
|
0.2246
|
2.4102
|
0.0159
|
| ps1 |
0.2054
|
0.0128
|
16.0606
|
0.0000
|
| ps2 |
-0.0672
|
0.0083
|
-8.0824
|
0.0000
|
| ps3 |
0.1568
|
0.0124
|
12.6740
|
0.0000
|
| ps4 |
0.0351
|
0.0074
|
4.7782
|
0.0000
|
| ps5 |
0.0652
|
0.0084
|
7.8021
|
0.0000
|
| ps6 |
0.0679
|
0.0089
|
7.6073
|
0.0000
|
| ps7 |
-0.0344
|
0.0070
|
-4.9017
|
0.0000
|
| ps8 |
0.2513
|
0.0221
|
11.3826
|
0.0000
|
| I1 |
0.0470
|
0.0174
|
2.7060
|
0.0068
|
| I2 |
0.0525
|
0.0180
|
-2.9120
|
0.0036
|
| I3 |
0.0453
|
0.0178
|
-2.5459
|
0.0109
|
| I4 |
0.0684
|
0.0180
|
-3.8093
|
0.0001
|
| I5 |
0.0796
|
0.0180
|
-4.4259
|
0.0000
|
| I6 |
0.0722
|
0.0179
|
-4.0294
|
0.0001
|
| holiday1 |
0.0605
|
0.0196
|
3.0775
|
0.0021
|
| holiday2 |
0.1332
|
0.0291
|
4.5716
|
0.0000
|
| influ |
0.0848
|
0.0146
|
5.8187
|
0.0000
|
| temperature |
0.0147
|
0.0024
|
6.1126
|
0.0000
|
| humidity |
-0.0016
|
0.0006
|
-2.8834
|
0.0039
|
Table E4: Core model for admissions due to respiratory disease, 15-64 age group
Residual Standard Error = 0.1762, Multiple R-Square = 0.4606
N = 1096, F-statistic = 31.3909 on 29 and 1066 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
4.5628
|
0.3401
|
13.4155
|
0.0000
|
| t1 |
-0.0060
|
0.0018
|
-3.2884
|
0.0010
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
3.4918
|
0.0005
|
| pcs1 |
-0.0792
|
0.0277
|
-2.8564
|
0.0043
|
| pcs2 |
-0.1648
|
0.0514
|
-3.2056
|
0.0013
|
| pcs3 |
-0.0226
|
0.0078
|
-2.8954
|
0.0038
|
| pcs4 |
0.0121
|
0.0108
|
1.1217
|
0.2620
|
| pcs5 |
0.0016
|
0.0073
|
0.2258
|
0.8214
|
| pcs6 |
-0.0287
|
0.0082
|
-3.4741
|
0.0005
|
| pcs7 |
-0.7270
|
0.2045
|
-3.5554
|
0.0004
|
| pcs8 |
-0.0297
|
0.0148
|
-2.0111
|
0.0443
|
| ps1 |
0.1057
|
0.0118
|
8.9898
|
0.0000
|
| ps2 |
0.0021
|
0.0125
|
0.1687
|
0.8660
|
| ps3 |
-0.0308
|
0.0078
|
-3.9732
|
0.0001
|
| ps4 |
0.0297
|
0.0084
|
3.5528
|
0.0004
|
| ps5 |
-0.0311
|
0.0074
|
-4.1914
|
0.0000
|
| ps6 |
-0.0077
|
0.0085
|
-0.9057
|
0.3651
|
| ps7 |
0.1008
|
0.0213
|
4.7275
|
0.0000
|
| ps8 |
0.0173
|
0.0089
|
1.9350
|
0.0530
|
| I1 |
0.2593
|
0.0195
|
13.2823
|
0.0000
|
| I2 |
0.2620
|
0.0197
|
13.3320
|
0.0000
|
| I3 |
0.2630
|
0.0195
|
13.4881
|
0.0000
|
| I4 |
0.2431
|
0.0196
|
12.3697
|
0.0000
|
| I5 |
0.0354
|
0.0206
|
1.7190
|
0.0856
|
| I6 |
0.0713
|
0.0204
|
3.4931
|
0.0005
|
| holiday1 |
-0.1570
|
0.0229
|
-6.8468
|
0.0000
|
| holiday2 |
0.0962
|
0.0304
|
3.1642
|
0.0016
|
| influ |
0.0323
|
0.0164
|
1.9630
|
0.0496
|
| temperature |
0.0037
|
0.0024
|
1.5279
|
0.1265
|
| humidity |
-0.0007
|
0.0006
|
-1.1943
|
0.2324
|
Table E5: Core model for admissions due to respiratory disease, 65-74 age group
Residual Standard Error = 0.2027,Multiple R-Square = 0.4643
N = 1096, F-statistic = 31.8535 on 29 and 1066 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
3.2793
|
0.3931
|
8.3427
|
0.0000
|
| t1 |
0.0002
|
0.0021
|
0.1008
|
0.9197
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
-0.0239
|
0.9809
|
| pcs1 |
0.0470
|
0.0320
|
1.4700
|
0.1416
|
| pcs2 |
0.0180
|
0.0596
|
0.3014
|
0.7631
|
| pcs3 |
-0.0491
|
0.2372
|
-0.2071
|
0.8359
|
| pcs4 |
-0.0090
|
0.0090
|
-1.0083
|
0.3133
|
| pcs5 |
0.0218
|
0.0123
|
1.7663
|
0.0773
|
| pcs6 |
-0.0188
|
0.0094
|
-1.9914
|
0.0464
|
| pcs7 |
0.0159
|
0.0083
|
1.9123
|
0.0558
|
| pcs8 |
0.0113
|
0.0171
|
0.6604
|
0.5090
|
| ps1 |
0.1656
|
0.0136
|
12.1700
|
0.0000
|
| ps2 |
-0.0837
|
0.0146
|
-5.7483
|
0.0000
|
| ps3 |
-0.0273
|
0.0249
|
-1.0961
|
0.2730
|
| ps4 |
-0.0387
|
0.0089
|
-4.3559
|
0.0000
|
| ps5 |
0.0395
|
0.0096
|
4.1091
|
0.0000
|
| ps6 |
-0.0102
|
0.0098
|
-1.0470
|
0.2951
|
| ps7 |
-0.0333
|
0.0085
|
-3.9218
|
0.0001
|
| ps8 |
0.0165
|
0.0103
|
1.5991
|
0.1098
|
| I1 |
0.1918
|
0.0217
|
8.8184
|
0.0000
|
| I2 |
0.1099
|
0.0224
|
4.9159
|
0.0000
|
| I3 |
0.1125
|
0.0222
|
5.0757
|
0.0000
|
| I4 |
0.1159
|
0.0222
|
5.2200
|
0.0000
|
| I5 |
0.0841
|
0.0224
|
3.7602
|
0.0002
|
| I6 |
-0.0198
|
0.0229
|
-0.8657
|
0.3866
|
| holiday1 |
-0.0799
|
0.0252
|
-3.1712
|
0.0015
|
| holiday2 |
0.1062
|
0.0353
|
3.0044
|
0.0027
|
| influ |
0.0910
|
0.0187
|
4.8728
|
0.0000
|
| temperature |
0.0056
|
0.0028
|
2.0193
|
0.0435
|
| humidity |
-0.0008
|
0.0007
|
-1.1867
|
0.2353
|
Table E6: Core model for admissions due to respiratory disease, 75 or older age group
Residual Standard Error = 0.1761, Multiple R-Square = 0.6025
N = 1096, F-statistic = 52.0248 on 31 and 1064 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
4.8060
|
0.3482
|
13.8041
|
0.0000
|
| t1 |
-0.0053
|
0.0019
|
-2.7828
|
0.0054
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
2.8190
|
0.0048
|
| pcs1 |
-0.0120
|
0.0283
|
-0.4227
|
0.6725
|
| pcs2 |
-0.1221
|
0.0532
|
-2.2960
|
0.0217
|
| pcs3 |
-0.6564
|
0.2112
|
-3.1078
|
0.0019
|
| pcs4 |
-0.0310
|
0.0084
|
-3.6735
|
0.0002
|
| pcs5 |
-0.0090
|
0.0080
|
-1.1177
|
0.2637
|
| pcs6 |
0.0011
|
0.0111
|
0.0976
|
0.9223
|
| pcs7 |
0.0221
|
0.0079
|
2.7846
|
0.0054
|
| pcs8 |
0.0226
|
0.0074
|
3.0368
|
0.0024
|
| pcs9 |
-0.0221
|
0.0153
|
-1.4405
|
0.1497
|
| ps1 |
0.1956
|
0.0123
|
15.9526
|
0.0000
|
| ps2 |
-0.1183
|
0.0131
|
-9.0396
|
0.0000
|
| ps3 |
-0.1104
|
0.0224
|
-4.9267
|
0.0000
|
| ps4 |
-0.0468
|
0.0088
|
-5.3131
|
0.0000
|
| ps5 |
-0.0499
|
0.0080
|
-6.2394
|
0.0000
|
| ps6 |
0.0379
|
0.0087
|
4.3799
|
0.0000
|
| ps7 |
-0.0095
|
0.0076
|
-1.2560
|
0.2091
|
| ps8 |
-0.0117
|
0.0076
|
-1.5361
|
0.1245
|
| ps9 |
-0.0071
|
0.0093
|
-0.7597
|
0.4474
|
| I1 |
0.0960
|
0.0193
|
4.9639
|
0.0000
|
| I2 |
0.0324
|
0.0199
|
1.6307
|
0.1030
|
| I3 |
0.0501
|
0.0196
|
2.5587
|
0.0105
|
| I4 |
0.0530
|
0.0196
|
2.6995
|
0.0069
|
| I5 |
0.0345
|
0.0197
|
1.7525
|
0.0797
|
| I6 |
0.0189
|
0.0198
|
0.9592
|
0.3375
|
| holiday1 |
-0.0519
|
0.0221
|
-2.3487
|
0.0188
|
| holiday2 |
0.0274
|
0.0328
|
0.8352
|
0.4036
|
| influ |
0.0840
|
0.0173
|
4.8674
|
0.0000
|
| temperature |
0.0076
|
0.0024
|
3.1263
|
0.0018
|
| humidity |
-0.0013
|
0.0006
|
-2.1556
|
0.0311
|
Table E7: Core model for admissions due to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Residual Standard Error = 0.1768, Multiple R-Square = 0.5288
N = 1096, F-statistic = 41.2493 on 29 and 1066 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
3.7844
|
0.3467
|
10.9142
|
0.0000
|
| t1 |
-0.0001
|
0.0019
|
-0.0592
|
0.9528
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
0.0393
|
0.9686
|
| pcs1 |
0.0709
|
0.0283
|
2.5043
|
0.0123
|
| pcs2 |
0.0170
|
0.0528
|
0.3218
|
0.7476
|
| pcs3 |
-0.0216
|
0.0080
|
-2.6984
|
0.0070
|
| pcs4 |
-0.0459
|
0.2103
|
-0.2182
|
0.8273
|
| pcs5 |
0.0120
|
0.0074
|
1.6248
|
0.1042
|
| pcs6 |
-0.0125
|
0.0084
|
-1.4860
|
0.1373
|
| pcs7 |
0.0137
|
0.0111
|
1.2421
|
0.2142
|
| pcs8 |
-0.0025
|
0.0151
|
-0.1660
|
0.8681
|
| ps1 |
0.1864
|
0.0121
|
15.3991
|
0.0000
|
| ps2 |
-0.0839
|
0.0128
|
-6.5310
|
0.0000
|
| ps3 |
-0.0404
|
0.0079
|
-5.0872
|
0.0000
|
| ps4 |
-0.0338
|
0.0220
|
-1.5395
|
0.1237
|
| ps5 |
-0.0414
|
0.0076
|
-5.4773
|
0.0000
|
| ps6 |
-0.0102
|
0.0087
|
-1.1736
|
0.2405
|
| ps7 |
0.0279
|
0.0086
|
3.2470
|
0.0012
|
| ps8 |
-0.0108
|
0.0092
|
-1.1805
|
0.2378
|
| I1 |
0.1965
|
0.0193
|
10.1727
|
0.0000
|
| I2 |
0.1076
|
0.0199
|
5.4085
|
0.0000
|
| I3 |
0.1223
|
0.0197
|
6.2213
|
0.0000
|
| I4 |
0.1166
|
0.0198
|
5.9051
|
0.0000
|
| I5 |
0.0789
|
0.0199
|
3.9629
|
0.0001
|
| I6 |
-0.0126
|
0.0203
|
-0.6175
|
0.5369
|
| holiday1 |
-0.0815
|
0.0223
|
-3.6565
|
0.0003
|
| holiday2 |
0.0524
|
0.0322
|
1.6265
|
0.1038
|
| influ |
0.0577
|
0.0166
|
3.4774
|
0.0005
|
| temperature |
0.0018
|
0.0024
|
0.7274
|
0.4670
|
| humidity |
-0.0002
|
0.0006
|
-0.4000
|
0.6892
|
Table E8: Core model for admissions due to asthma, all ages
Residual Standard Error = 0.2663, Multiple R-Square = 0.4074
N = 1096, F-statistic = 25.2716 on 29 and 1066 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
3.6988
|
0.6040
|
6.1241
|
0.0000
|
| t1 |
-0.0002
|
0.0032
|
-0.0582
|
0.9536
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
0.1081
|
0.9139
|
| pcs1 |
0.0636
|
0.0476
|
1.3363
|
0.1815
|
| pcs2 |
-0.0031
|
0.0150
|
-0.2039
|
0.8385
|
| pcs3 |
-0.0686
|
0.0111
|
-6.1618
|
0.0000
|
| pcs4 |
-0.0649
|
0.3587
|
-0.1809
|
0.8565
|
| pcs5 |
0.0325
|
0.0123
|
2.6333
|
0.0085
|
| pcs6 |
0.0832
|
0.0900
|
0.9242
|
0.3554
|
| pcs7 |
0.0228
|
0.0180
|
1.2662
|
0.2054
|
| pcs8 |
0.0146
|
0.0253
|
0.5766
|
0.5642
|
| ps1 |
-0.1088
|
0.0203
|
-5.3543
|
0.0000
|
| ps2 |
-0.1586
|
0.0133
|
-11.9210
|
0.0000
|
| ps3 |
-0.0578
|
0.0113
|
-5.1092
|
0.0000
|
| ps4 |
0.0504
|
0.0326
|
1.5455
|
0.1222
|
| ps5 |
0.0514
|
0.0118
|
4.3459
|
0.0000
|
| ps6 |
0.0334
|
0.0187
|
1.7836
|
0.0745
|
| ps7 |
0.0291
|
0.0133
|
2.1900
|
0.0285
|
| ps8 |
-0.0109
|
0.0141
|
-0.7686
|
0.4421
|
| I1 |
0.0948
|
0.0276
|
3.4346
|
0.0006
|
| I2 |
-0.0208
|
0.0286
|
-0.7277
|
0.4668
|
| I3 |
-0.0758
|
0.0288
|
-2.6274
|
0.0086
|
| I4 |
-0.0549
|
0.0288
|
-1.9068
|
0.0566
|
| I5 |
-0.0859
|
0.0290
|
-2.9569
|
0.0031
|
| I6 |
-0.0975
|
0.0291
|
-3.3545
|
0.0008
|
| holiday1 |
0.0534
|
0.0318
|
1.6803
|
0.0929
|
| holiday2 |
0.1838
|
0.0452
|
4.0677
|
0.0000
|
| influ |
0.0145
|
0.0239
|
0.6062
|
0.5444
|
| temperature |
-0.0146
|
0.0039
|
-3.7591
|
0.0002
|
| humidity |
-0.0023
|
0.0009
|
-2.6630
|
0.0077
|
Table E9: Core model for admissions due to asthma, younger than 15 age group
Residual Standard Error = 0.3867, Multiple R-Square = 0.4358
N = 1096, F-statistic = 28.3896 on 29 and 1066 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
3.7289
|
0.8091
|
4.6089
|
0.0000
|
| t1 |
-0.0043
|
0.0043
|
-0.9879
|
0.3232
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
0.9974
|
0.3185
|
| pcs1 |
-0.0479
|
0.0206
|
-2.3259
|
0.0200
|
| pcs2 |
0.0671
|
0.0643
|
1.0431
|
0.2969
|
| pcs3 |
0.0457
|
0.1210
|
0.3778
|
0.7056
|
| pcs4 |
-0.1086
|
0.0153
|
-7.1070
|
0.0000
|
| pcs5 |
-0.5138
|
0.4806
|
-1.0690
|
0.2850
|
| pcs6 |
0.0286
|
0.0169
|
1.6924
|
0.0906
|
| pcs7 |
0.0143
|
0.0248
|
0.5768
|
0.5641
|
| pcs8 |
0.0026
|
0.0341
|
0.0766
|
0.9389
|
| ps1 |
-0.2392
|
0.0184
|
-13.0157
|
0.0000
|
| ps2 |
-0.1997
|
0.0278
|
-7.1817
|
0.0000
|
| ps3 |
0.0470
|
0.0254
|
1.8496
|
0.0644
|
| ps4 |
-0.0761
|
0.0155
|
-4.9061
|
0.0000
|
| ps5 |
0.0213
|
0.0437
|
0.4873
|
0.6261
|
| ps6 |
0.0653
|
0.0164
|
3.9911
|
0.0001
|
| ps7 |
0.0299
|
0.0183
|
1.6327
|
0.1025
|
| ps8 |
-0.0450
|
0.0194
|
-2.3182
|
0.0204
|
| I1 |
0.0850
|
0.0370
|
2.3000
|
0.0214
|
| I2 |
-0.0639
|
0.0387
|
-1.6518
|
0.0986
|
| I3 |
-0.1450
|
0.0392
|
-3.6935
|
0.0002
|
| I4 |
-0.1537
|
0.0395
|
-3.8924
|
0.0001
|
| I5 |
-0.1696
|
0.0397
|
-4.2749
|
0.0000
|
| I6 |
-0.1099
|
0.0390
|
-2.8199
|
0.0048
|
| holiday1 |
0.0468
|
0.0441
|
1.0617
|
0.2884
|
| holiday2 |
0.1980
|
0.0618
|
3.2055
|
0.0013
|
| influ |
-0.0559
|
0.0338
|
-1.6540
|
0.0981
|
| temperature |
-0.0081
|
0.0054
|
-1.4986
|
0.1340
|
| humidity |
-0.0026
|
0.0012
|
-2.1852
|
0.0289
|
Table E10: Core model for admissions due to asthma, 15-64 age group
Residual Standard Error = 0.4218, Multiple R-Square = 0.1741
N = 1094, F-statistic = 7.7324 on 29 and 1064 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
2.4502
|
0.9178
|
2.6696
|
0.0076
|
| t1 |
0.0011
|
0.0049
|
0.2184
|
0.8271
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
-0.1637
|
0.8700
|
| pcs1 |
0.0210
|
0.0723
|
0.2899
|
0.7719
|
| pcs2 |
-0.0393
|
0.0168
|
-2.3375
|
0.0194
|
| pcs3 |
0.0664
|
0.0229
|
2.9063
|
0.0037
|
| pcs4 |
0.0514
|
0.0187
|
2.7517
|
0.0059
|
| pcs5 |
0.0878
|
0.5456
|
0.1609
|
0.8721
|
| pcs6 |
0.0261
|
0.0271
|
0.9621
|
0.3360
|
| pcs7 |
0.0036
|
0.0385
|
0.0925
|
0.9263
|
| pcs8 |
0.0463
|
0.1368
|
0.3383
|
0.7351
|
| ps1 |
-0.0517
|
0.0306
|
-1.6918
|
0.0907
|
| ps2 |
-0.0684
|
0.0171
|
-4.0026
|
0.0001
|
| ps3 |
-0.1086
|
0.0200
|
-5.4272
|
0.0000
|
| ps4 |
0.0515
|
0.0178
|
2.9011
|
0.0037
|
| ps5 |
0.1123
|
0.0490
|
2.2909
|
0.0220
|
| ps6 |
0.0266
|
0.0199
|
1.3339
|
0.1822
|
| ps7 |
0.0240
|
0.0214
|
1.1245
|
0.2608
|
| ps8 |
0.0492
|
0.0281
|
1.7531
|
0.0796
|
| I1 |
0.0694
|
0.0422
|
1.6441
|
0.1002
|
| I2 |
0.0015
|
0.0433
|
0.0353
|
0.9718
|
| I3 |
-0.0417
|
0.0434
|
-0.9600
|
0.3371
|
| I4 |
-0.0068
|
0.0433
|
-0.1579
|
0.8745
|
| I5 |
-0.0033
|
0.0433
|
-0.0772
|
0.9385
|
| I6 |
-0.1261
|
0.0445
|
-2.8339
|
0.0046
|
| holiday1 |
0.1184
|
0.0463
|
2.5548
|
0.0106
|
| holiday2 |
0.1671
|
0.0683
|
2.4475
|
0.0144
|
| influ |
0.0362
|
0.0354
|
1.0241
|
0.3058
|
| temperature |
-0.0253
|
0.0057
|
-4.4056
|
0.0000
|
| humidity |
-0.0017
|
0.0013
|
-1.2828
|
0.1996
|
Table E11: Core model for admissions due to cardiac, all ages
Residual Standard Error = 0.1343, Multiple R-Square = 0.7207
N = 1096, F-statistic = 94.8569 on 29 and 1066 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
3.8840
|
0.2589
|
15.0020
|
0.0000
|
| t1 |
0.0013
|
0.0014
|
0.9243
|
0.3553
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
-0.9418
|
0.3463
|
| pcs1 |
0.1246
|
0.0212
|
5.8680
|
0.0000
|
| pcs2 |
0.1192
|
0.1569
|
0.7596
|
0.4475
|
| pcs3 |
0.0490
|
0.0393
|
1.2475
|
0.2122
|
| pcs4 |
-0.0143
|
0.0059
|
-2.4004
|
0.0164
|
| pcs5 |
0.0006
|
0.0055
|
0.1100
|
0.9124
|
| pcs6 |
-0.0140
|
0.0112
|
-1.2526
|
0.2103
|
| pcs7 |
0.0039
|
0.0062
|
0.6304
|
0.5284
|
| pcs8 |
0.0161
|
0.0082
|
1.9522
|
0.0509
|
| ps1 |
0.0722
|
0.0090
|
8.0307
|
0.0000
|
| ps2 |
-0.0332
|
0.0164
|
-2.0221
|
0.0432
|
| ps3 |
-0.0455
|
0.0095
|
-4.7751
|
0.0000
|
| ps4 |
-0.0227
|
0.0059
|
-3.8601
|
0.0001
|
| ps5 |
-0.0200
|
0.0056
|
-3.5754
|
0.0003
|
| ps6 |
-0.0041
|
0.0068
|
-0.6010
|
0.5478
|
| ps7 |
-0.0186
|
0.0064
|
-2.9130
|
0.0036
|
| ps8 |
0.0074
|
0.0063
|
1.1662
|
0.2435
|
| I1 |
0.4646
|
0.0150
|
30.8911
|
0.0000
|
| I2 |
0.3501
|
0.0155
|
22.6614
|
0.0000
|
| I3 |
0.4246
|
0.0151
|
28.0552
|
0.0000
|
| I4 |
0.3364
|
0.0154
|
21.7921
|
0.0000
|
| I5 |
0.3236
|
0.0155
|
20.9226
|
0.0000
|
| I6 |
0.0135
|
0.0166
|
0.8137
|
0.4158
|
| holiday1 |
-0.3520
|
0.0189
|
-18.6681
|
0.0000
|
| holiday2 |
0.0833
|
0.0229
|
3.6471
|
0.0003
|
| influ |
0.0117
|
0.0126
|
0.9284
|
0.3532
|
| temperature |
0.0088
|
0.0018
|
4.7910
|
0.0000
|
| humidity |
0.0000
|
0.0004
|
-0.0665
|
0.9470
|
Table E12: Core model for admissions due to cardiac, 15-64 age group
Residual Standard Error = 0.204, Multiple R-Square = 0.6945
N = 1096, F-statistic = 83.5689 on 29 and 1066 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
1.6057
|
0.3911
|
4.1059
|
0.0000
|
| t1 |
0.0070
|
0.0021
|
3.2879
|
0.0010
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
-3.3397
|
0.0008
|
| pcs1 |
0.7478
|
0.2373
|
3.1511
|
0.0016
|
| pcs2 |
0.1435
|
0.0319
|
4.5036
|
0.0000
|
| pcs3 |
0.2114
|
0.0593
|
3.5667
|
0.0004
|
| pcs4 |
-0.0077
|
0.0088
|
-0.8765
|
0.3808
|
| pcs5 |
0.0019
|
0.0081
|
0.2292
|
0.8187
|
| pcs6 |
0.0311
|
0.0168
|
1.8545
|
0.0637
|
| pcs7 |
0.0269
|
0.0092
|
2.9348
|
0.0033
|
| pcs8 |
0.0397
|
0.0122
|
3.2615
|
0.0011
|
| ps1 |
-0.0215
|
0.0253
|
-0.8510
|
0.3948
|
| ps2 |
-0.0087
|
0.0134
|
-0.6531
|
0.5137
|
| ps3 |
-0.0475
|
0.0145
|
-3.2622
|
0.0011
|
| ps4 |
-0.0340
|
0.0087
|
-3.9071
|
0.0001
|
| ps5 |
-0.0145
|
0.0083
|
-1.7531
|
0.0796
|
| ps6 |
0.0038
|
0.0101
|
0.3746
|
0.7079
|
| ps7 |
-0.0075
|
0.0095
|
-0.7909
|
0.4290
|
| ps8 |
0.0010
|
0.0094
|
0.1025
|
0.9184
|
| I1 |
0.6520
|
0.0233
|
27.9238
|
0.0000
|
| I2 |
0.5595
|
0.0238
|
23.5140
|
0.0000
|
| I3 |
0.5842
|
0.0236
|
24.7833
|
0.0000
|
| I4 |
0.5447
|
0.0238
|
22.9113
|
0.0000
|
| I5 |
0.5287
|
0.0238
|
22.1904
|
0.0000
|
| I6 |
0.0011
|
0.0267
|
0.0394
|
0.9686
|
| holiday1 |
-0.5031
|
0.0305
|
-16.5077
|
0.0000
|
| holiday2 |
0.0800
|
0.0333
|
2.4039
|
0.0162
|
| influ |
0.0125
|
0.0188
|
0.6647
|
0.5062
|
| temperature |
0.0115
|
0.0028
|
4.1120
|
0.0000
|
| humidity |
-0.0001
|
0.0006
|
-0.1580
|
0.8745
|
Table E13: Core model for admissions due to cardiac, 65-74 age group
Residual Standard Error = 0.2214, Multiple R-Square = 0.5147
N = 1096, F-statistic = 38.9846 on 29 and 1066 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
2.5646
|
0.4165
|
6.1578
|
0.0000
|
| t1 |
0.0013
|
0.0023
|
0.5929
|
0.5532
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
-0.5170
|
0.6051
|
| pcs1 |
0.1452
|
0.0340
|
4.2702
|
0.0000
|
| pcs2 |
-0.0303
|
0.0179
|
-1.6913
|
0.0908
|
| pcs3 |
0.0054
|
0.0100
|
0.5354
|
0.5923
|
| pcs4 |
0.0120
|
0.0088
|
1.3646
|
0.1724
|
| pcs5 |
0.0455
|
0.0628
|
0.7244
|
0.4688
|
| pcs6 |
-0.0123
|
0.0096
|
-1.2869
|
0.1981
|
| pcs7 |
0.0203
|
0.0133
|
1.5284
|
0.1264
|
| pcs8 |
0.1187
|
0.2510
|
0.4728
|
0.6363
|
| ps1 |
0.0995
|
0.0145
|
6.8768
|
0.0000
|
| ps2 |
-0.0022
|
0.0108
|
-0.2067
|
0.8363
|
| ps3 |
-0.0290
|
0.0103
|
-2.8142
|
0.0049
|
| ps4 |
0.0190
|
0.0088
|
2.1527
|
0.0313
|
| ps5 |
-0.0203
|
0.0151
|
-1.3410
|
0.1799
|
| ps6 |
-0.0147
|
0.0094
|
-1.5577
|
0.1193
|
| ps7 |
0.0209
|
0.0102
|
2.0549
|
0.0399
|
| ps8 |
0.0141
|
0.0260
|
0.5395
|
0.5895
|
| I1 |
0.4338
|
0.0240
|
18.0590
|
0.0000
|
| I2 |
0.3421
|
0.0246
|
13.9159
|
0.0000
|
| I3 |
0.4488
|
0.0239
|
18.7691
|
0.0000
|
| I4 |
0.2490
|
0.0250
|
9.9727
|
0.0000
|
| I5 |
0.2809
|
0.0248
|
11.3377
|
0.0000
|
| I6 |
-0.0152
|
0.0266
|
-0.5711
|
0.5679
|
| holiday1 |
-0.3676
|
0.0303
|
-12.1320
|
0.0000
|
| holiday2 |
0.0367
|
0.0376
|
0.9749
|
0.3296
|
| influ |
0.0035
|
0.0203
|
0.1715
|
0.8639
|
| temperature |
0.0114
|
0.0029
|
3.8844
|
0.0001
|
| humidity |
-0.0001
|
0.0007
|
-0.0847
|
0.9325
|
Table E14: Core model for admissions due to cardiac, 75 or older age group
Residual Standard Error = 0.194, Multiple R-Square = 0.4977
N = 1096, F-statistic = 36.4188 on 29 and 1066 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
2.0610
|
0.4423
|
4.6600
|
0.0000
|
| t1 |
0.0056
|
0.0023
|
2.4153
|
0.0157
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
-2.3663
|
0.0180
|
| pcs1 |
0.2414
|
0.0351
|
6.8731
|
0.0000
|
| pcs2 |
0.5934
|
0.2609
|
2.2742
|
0.0230
|
| pcs3 |
0.1704
|
0.0654
|
2.6050
|
0.0092
|
| pcs4 |
0.0519
|
0.0108
|
4.8130
|
0.0000
|
| pcs5 |
0.0185
|
0.0182
|
1.0165
|
0.3094
|
| pcs6 |
-0.0083
|
0.0087
|
-0.9533
|
0.3404
|
| pcs7 |
0.0068
|
0.0080
|
0.8478
|
0.3966
|
| pcs8 |
0.0324
|
0.0131
|
2.4760
|
0.0133
|
| ps1 |
0.1693
|
0.0142
|
11.8986
|
0.0000
|
| ps2 |
-0.0218
|
0.0242
|
-0.9010
|
0.3676
|
| ps3 |
-0.0370
|
0.0139
|
-2.6653
|
0.0077
|
| ps4 |
0.0479
|
0.0094
|
5.1113
|
0.0000
|
| ps5 |
0.0020
|
0.0101
|
0.2024
|
0.8396
|
| ps6 |
-0.0169
|
0.0084
|
-2.0117
|
0.0443
|
| ps7 |
-0.0280
|
0.0081
|
-3.4439
|
0.0006
|
| ps8 |
0.0179
|
0.0096
|
1.8725
|
0.0611
|
| I1 |
0.3139
|
0.0211
|
14.9095
|
0.0000
|
| I2 |
0.1439
|
0.0220
|
6.5447
|
0.0000
|
| I3 |
0.2352
|
0.0214
|
10.9913
|
0.0000
|
| I4 |
0.2013
|
0.0216
|
9.3110
|
0.0000
|
| I5 |
0.1702
|
0.0218
|
7.8227
|
0.0000
|
| I6 |
0.0373
|
0.0224
|
1.6608
|
0.0968
|
| holiday1 |
-0.1928
|
0.0252
|
-7.6527
|
0.0000
|
| holiday2 |
0.1316
|
0.0331
|
3.9796
|
0.0001
|
| influ |
0.0217
|
0.0168
|
1.2930
|
0.1960
|
| temperature |
0.0096
|
0.0027
|
3.5232
|
0.0004
|
| humidity |
0.0000
|
0.0006
|
0.0479
|
0.9618
|
Table E15: Core model for admissions due to ischaemic heart disease, all ages
Residual Standard Error = 0.2027, Multiple R-Square = 0.5585
N = 1096, F-statistic = 46.4906 on 29 and 1066 df, p-value = 0
| |
Value
|
Std. Error
|
t-value
|
p-value
|
| (Intercept) |
2.4326
|
0.3820
|
6.3678
|
0.0000
|
| t1 |
0.0041
|
0.0021
|
1.9778
|
0.0479
|
| t2 |
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
-1.9950
|
0.0460
|
| pcs1 |
0.1348
|
0.0316
|
4.2721
|
0.0000
|
| pcs2 |
0.1299
|
0.0577
|
2.2514
|
0.0244
|
| pcs3 |
0.0216
|
0.0083
|
2.5971
|
0.0094
|
| pcs4 |
0.4307
|
0.2304
|
1.8691
|
0.0616
|
| pcs5 |
0.0371
|
0.0122
|
3.0370
|
0.0024
|
| pcs6 |
0.0015
|
0.0165
|
0.0893
|
0.9289
|
| pcs7 |
0.0197
|
0.0094
|
2.1019
|
0.0356
|
| pcs8 |
-0.0135
|
0.0086
|
-1.5717
|
0.1160
|
| ps1 |
0.0287
|
0.0138
|
2.0862
|
0.0370
|
| ps2 |
-0.0532
|
0.0142
|
-3.7333
|
0.0002
|
| ps3 |
0.0094
|
0.0084
|
1.1209
|
0.2623
|
| ps4 |
-0.0500
|
0.0246
|
-2.0359
|
0.0418
|
| ps5 |
0.0128
|
0.0096
|
1.3332
|
0.1825
|
| ps6 |
-0.0149
|
0.0102
|
-1.4597
|
0.1444
|
| ps7 |
-0.0186
|
0.0096
|
-1.9352
|
0.0530
|
| ps8 |
0.0071
|
0.0085
|
0.8336
|
0.4045
|
| I1 |
0.3833
|
0.0227
|
16.9183
|
0.0000
|
| I2 |
0.3490
|
0.0229
|
15.2261
|
0.0000
|
| I3 |
0.4471
|
0.0223
|
20.0184
|
0.0000
|
| I4 |
0.1713
|
0.0237
|
7.2248
|
0.0000
|
| I5 |
0.2665
|
0.0232
|
11.4859
|
0.0000
|
| I6 |
-0.0909
|
0.0253
|
-3.5947
|
0.0003
|
| holiday1 |
-0.3882
|
0.0290
|
-13.3747
|
0.0000
|
| holiday2 |
0.0411
|
0.0353
|
1.1635
|
0.2446
|
| influ |
0.0149
|
0.0186
|
0.8018
|
0.4227
|
| temperature |
0.0084
|
0.0028
|
3.0331
|
0.0024
|
| humidity |
0.0000
|
0.0007
|
0.0501
|
0.9600
|
|
