7.1               Introduction

7.1.1           Background

In view of the South East Kowloon Development Project which consisted of a trunk road Central Kowloon Route (CKR) and a new Cruise Terminal to be developed at the southern end of the former Kai Tak Airport (KTA) runway, the existing twin 400mm submarine gas pipeline that serves the gas supply from Ma Tau Kok (MTK) to North Point (NP) were requested to be realigned by the Hong Kong SAR Government in order to cope with these developments. The existing gas pigging stations at MTK and NP are required to be re-located accordingly.

The purpose of the Project is to construct a new gas transmission route from To Kwa Wan to North Point so as to replace the existing route affected by the proposed Cruise Terminal at Kai Tak and the proposed Central Kowloon Route at Ma Tau Kok. The gas transmission route will consist of a pair of twin submarine gas pipelines across the Victoria Harbour, two new land pipeline sections at both ends, and two new gas pigging stations for pigging operation at both ends.

The existing submarine gas pipelines from Ma Tau Kok to North Point serve as the strategic gas mains for supplying town gas to more than 300,000 customers on Hong Kong Island. The Project will ensure that the replacement of the existing gas facilities from Ma Tau Kok to North Point are completed and the new facilities are in service before the decommissioning of the existing facilities for the construction works of these two major government projects.

The proposed new alignment for the gas pipelines is shown in Figure 2.1.

7.1.2           Scope of Study

The scope of the Hazard to Life Assessment (HtLA) study includes the following:

¡      Twin submarine gas pipelines (O.D. 457mm) across Victoria Harbour from To Kwa Wan to North Point

¡      Two land gas pipelines at To Kwa Wan and North Point respectively (O.D. 610 mm)

¡      Two gas pigging stations for pigging operation (Refer to Appendix F3)

7.2               Approach and Methodology

The approach and methodology of the Hazard to Life Assessment study follow those described in the Project EIA Study Brief (ESB-171/2007) Section 3.4.5. The HtLA report should be written to provide hazard assessment information on the hazards associated with relevant aspects of the construction and operation of the proposed submarine gas pipelines, the gas pigging stations and associated facilities. The information should include the following:

a.    description and review of design of the submarine gas pipelines and the gas pigging stations;

b.    identification of potential hazards associated with these installations and evaluation of the potential safety impacts to the public and the environment; and

c.    recommendations on appropriate risk mitigation measures.

The two gas pigging stations, as associated facilities of the realigned land / submarine pipelines, are not part of the EIA designated project. Assessment of risk posed by the gas pigging stations are hence shown in Appendix F3 of this report for reference.

7.3               Applicable Regulations

The project is governed by the following key legislation:

¡      Gas Safety Ordinance, Gas Safety (Registration of Gas Supply Companies) Regulations, Gas Safety (Supply) Regulations 1991

¡      Factories and Industrial Undertakings Ordinance 1955

¡      Occupational Safety and Health Ordinance 1997

¡      Hong Kong Planning Standards and Guidelines, Chapter 12

A risk ranking approach is adopted in the study to qualitatively assess the risk associated with the Project. Risk Ranking is a common methodology for making risk-based decision. In our study, a 5x5 risk matrix, which consists of consequences and likelihood, is adopted. The risk is evaluated by its severity and the likelihood of happening. The details of risk evaluation are given in Section 7.6.1.

7.4               Design Description and Review

7.4.1           Onshore Gas Pipelines

On the To Kwa Wan side, the proposed land pipes (O.D. 610mm) will connect the existing gas network to the proposed TKW pigging station tentatively via a section of underground land pipeline buried along San Ma Tau Street, Mei King Street, Kwei Chow Street, Yuk Yat Street and Chi Kiang Street. The total length is about 1.1 km. The proposed land pipeline alignment at To Kwa Wan is shown in Figure 7.1.

On the North Point side, the onshore landing point will be located inside the North Point Police Station. A new section of underground pipeline will connect it to the Gas Pigging Station, where it is connected to the North Point Offtake Station via buried land pipeline across Hoi Yu Street. The proposed land pipeline alignment at North Point is shown in Figure 7.2.

The onshore gas pipelines are designed with reference to the recommendations of Institution of Gas Engineers and Managers. The operating pressure is about 7 barg. The land pipeline is coated internally with liquid epoxy and externally with 3-layer epoxy-polyethylene. It will be protected by cathodic protection system, and a minimum of soil cover of 1.2m is provided.

7.4.2           Submarine Gas Pipelines

The proposed twin submarine gas pipelines are of length 3.1km and O.D. 457mm, and will be laid across the Victoria Harbour. It will be protected from corrosion using Impress Current Cathodic Protection System (ICCP) and will be buried at least 3m below the seabed with armour rock protection. The armour rock protection layer is provided to achieve the adequate protection against anchor drop, drag and dropped objects onto the pipelines.

7.4.3           Nearby Residential and Employment Population

The proposed gas pigging station on the Kowloon side is located near waterfront of To Kwa Wan. Currently, there are 2 school sites at a distance at least 80m from the western boundary of the proposed gas pigging station. Another 2 schools are planned to be developed next to the western boundary.  Existing To Kwa Wan Preliminary Treatment Works is adjacent to the southern boundary of the station at a distance of about 10m. The closest commercial building, APB Centre, is over 50m from the south-west corner of the boundary. The rest of the lands in the vicinity are for open area use.

The proposed gas pigging station on the Island side is located near waterfront of North Point, next to the existing gas pigging station, which will be demolished after the commissioning of the new one. The North Point Police Station is adjacent to the western boundary of the proposed gas pigging station at a distance of about 20m. The Hong Kong and China Gas Limited Building and the Eastern Harbour Centre are about 20 and 40 m from the eastern boundary of the station respectively. Harbour Plaza (North Point) Hotel, Wing Wah Industrial Building and Hong Kong Funeral Home are about 60m from the south-west corner of the boundary. An elevated trunk road, the Island Eastern Corridor, is located at the north of the proposed station.

The land use, description and location of the population groups near the proposed gas pigging stations during operation in Year 2012 are shown in Appendix F1 of this report for reference.

7.4.4           Safety Management

HKCG has a comprehensive operating procedures and safety guidelines to safeguard its employees and public. This section will briefly discuss the safety system under normal operating condition and in emergency.

7.4.4.1         Normal Operating Condition

HKCG has developed its in-house guideline and sets forth the requirement for operation and maintenance of gas transportation system to ensure any gas transportation above 400 kPa is in good condition.

Inspection of submarine pipeline will be carried out by pigging operation about once every 10 years. Brief description of the pigging operation together with illustration can be found in Appendix F2.

7.4.4.2         Emergency

HKCG has a set of stringent in-house guidelines and procedures recognized by the Government to deal with emergency. In case of gas leakage, SCADA system will initiate the alarm for the Grid Control Engineer immediate action and the Fire Services Department (FSD) will be contacted immediately. The critical valve of the gas transmission pipeworks can be remotely shut down if necessary. Should emergency team be required to be dispatched, they will arrive of the scene within 30 minutes.

 

7.5               Hazard Identification

7.5.1           Overview

Towngas is a colourless and buoyant gas under ambient condition. Odorant has been added to make it smell distinct for easy gas leakage detection. It contains hydrogen and methane which makes it flammable. It also contains carbon monoxide and carbon dioxide that make it toxic and asphyxiated.

The proposed pipelines, gas pigging stations and the associated facilities are not classified as potentially hazardous installation (PHIs) under the HK Planning Standards and Guidelines. The major hazard arises from these facilities  is mainly associated with the loss of containment events from the pigging facilities and pipelines. This could occur as a result of the pipeline failure and lead to release of town gas.

The major hazard arises from the proposed pipelines is mainly associated with the loss of containment events. This could occur as a result of the pipeline failure and lead to release of town gas.

The following section presents the hazard scenarios identified for the risk assessment study. A structured and systematic approach has been adopted to identify all the potential major hazards associated with the pipelines.

7.5.2           Hazards during Construction of the Underground Pipelines

Major hazards associated with construction will mainly arise from accidental damage to the underground utilities during excavation works when constructing the proposed underground pipelines. The proposed underground pipeline alignment is situated at different locations from the existing alignment. Detailed information on the underground utilities will be collected prior to conducting any excavation work, in particular the existing gas pipelines as required by Gas Safety Ordinance. In addition, excavation work is well controlled in Hong Kong. Hence the chance of damaging any utilities is very remote.

The construction of the underground pipelines will be carried out in accordance with the HKCG guidelines and the relevant statutory regulations. The pipelines will not be filled up with any town gas during construction. Thus, the likelihood of construction works causing any damage to the existing pipeline or pipeline under construction and leading to a town gas release scenario is very remote.

7.5.3           Hazards during Construction of the Submarine Pipelines

During construction of the submarine pipeline, the existing twin submarine pipelines are still in use. The major hazard to life is the dredging works and the subsequent traffic arrangement that may have potential damage to the existing submarine pipe and lead to a release scenario.

According to the Marine Traffic Impact Assessment Report under this project, some recommended risk control procedures and mitigation measures are provided for developing the marine safety management system which can enhance the safety of the submarine pipeline construction.  They are repeated in the following sections:

7.5.3.1         Proper General Traffic Management Measures

a.    Full details of the schedule of operation will need to be provided to Marine Department to enable the appropriate Marine Department Notices to be drawn up and promulgate. It is also advised that the contractor to provide full construction details to Marine Police during all stage when marine work is undertaking;

b.    The schedule of operations will need to demonstrate that all relevant Marine Department requirements are to be complied with as will the International and local requirements for the marking with the yellow marker buoy (Reference: Marine Department Notice No.29 of 1998) and the lighting of the works craft;

c.    Deployment of guard boats (minimum 2) for Works within fairways;

d.    The Contractors should maintain communication with the Vessel Traffic Centre and the Operations Centre of Harbour Patrol Section (HPS) of Marine Department at all times. Marine VHF should be equipped in working craft for effective communications; and

e.    Operations should be curtailed to the practicable minimal scale if the environment is not favourable, i.e. visibility falls below one nautical mile, and Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal No. 3 or Black Rainstorm Warning is hoisted.

7.5.3.2         Minimisation of Works Activity Footprint – Dredging and Backfilling

a.    Given the limitation of dredgers in the Works area, the key opportunities to improve safety are to reduce dredged volume (hence shorter duration of Works), therefore, optimization of the trench sizes design could allow sufficient protection of gas pipe with minimum dredging volume. In order to optimise the trench, tests such as geotechnical centrifuge model testing of armour protection could be conducted.  The final design must balance construction Works duration against the key nature of the pipeline – a key gas supply corridor to Hong Kong Island.

b.    The backfilling operations will be similar (although of shorter duration) to those during construction as a Grab Dredger is expected to be used to place armouring rock.  As such these two operations share identical marine impacts and mitigation measures.

7.5.3.3         Safety Provision during Dredging and Backfilling

a.    The Works area along the submarine pipeline should be demarcated with marker buoys and boundary floats to prevent vessel entering this working zone. Yellow marker buoys fitted with yellow flashing lights should be used to mark the locations of the anchoring points around the dredging vessels.

b.    Deployment of guard boats (2 numbers for all periods when Works are set within a designated Fairway). All vessels should be marked with the words “Guard”, in English and Chinese, with characters of 1m in height, and set a minimum 1m above deck level.

c.    All vessels marking, signals and lights should comply with the COLREGS and local signals adopted.

d.    The Contractor should ensure the diameter of Works for all dredging or backfilling Works craft operations does not exceed 100m.

e.    Only one spoil removal / rock delivery barge may attend the dredging Works vessel at any time.

f.      No spoil removal / rock delivery barges may wait or be anchored within a fairway.

7.5.3.4         Liaison with relevant Government Departments before and during Construction Stage

a.    The Contractor should liaise with local cruise operators and Hong Kong Pilots to advise them of the timing and location of all Works.

b.    If the Works craft are set within an area of any fairway that may impede the passage of a cruise liner or other large ocean-going vessel, the Works craft must, at the request of Marine Department, be removed from the work site 30 minutes prior to the anticipated passage.

7.5.3.5         Requirements during the Submarine Pipe Pulling

a.    All pipe pull wires and pipe pull heads deployed during pipe pull operations shall be closely monitored.

With the implementation of the above mitigation measures, the risk of indirect damage to the existing submarine pipeline during construction phase will be minimized. Besides, the existing submarine pipeline is also protected by armour rock and is about 500m apart except near the North Point landing site, direct damage to the gas pipe is not anticipated.

7.5.4           Hazardous Scenarios from Pipelines

7.5.4.1         External Causes

Natural Hazards

Natural hazards such as earthquake, storms, typhoon, subsidence and tsunami may cause potential damage to the pipelines and lead to loss of containment. The section will discuss the credibility of loss of containment due to these natural hazards with respect to Hong Kong geographical location.

Earthquake

Hong Kong is situated on the southern coast of mainland China and facing the South China Sea. Hong Kong is not located within the seismic belt and according to Hong Kong Observatory, earthquakes occurring in the circum-Pacific seismic belt which passes through Taiwan and Philippines are too far away to affect Hong Kong significantly [2].

Subsidence / Landslides

Excessive subsidence may lead to failure of the structure and ultimately loss of containment scenario. However, subsidence is usually slow in movement and such movement can be observed and remedial action can be taken in time. Besides, the land where the proposed pipelines will be located was reclaimed long time ago. Soil condition is considered rather stable; also there are no hilly regions nearby. The probability of town gas leak due to subsidence or landslides is considered to be remote.

Severe Environmental Event

Loss of containment due to severe environmental event such as typhoon or tsunami (large scale tidal wave) is not possible as the proposed pipelines are located underground or inside the seabed.

Third Party Damage

Third party damage (TPD) on land pipes includes the damage to pipes due to drilling, hammering and excavation works, etc. In fact, the potential of TPD damage to the land pipes depends on the surrounding environment. Pipe wall thickness, buried depth, concrete cover and design factor will all have influence to whether a TPD would result in pipe damage.

In Hong Kong, utility mapping will be conducted to identify any underground utility within the site before any construction work commences. Diversion works will be carried out if there is conflict with the development. In addition, excavation / trenching are well controlled in Hong Kong. Gas Safety Ordinance requires utility undertakers to obtain drawings of existing gas pipelines prior to any excavation. HKCG has daily patrol to existing IPB pipelines. These could minimize the risk of damaging any existing underground utility. The risk of TPD causing pipe leakage and loss of containment is credible and has been considered in this assessment.

Anchor Drop / Drag

For subsea pipe, anchorage drop / drag from other vessels could lead to pipe damage. The level of damage would depend on the size of the anchor and the subsea pipeline protection. Anchor drag may hook onto the subsea pipe and cause damage during retrieval.

It should be noted that the proposed subsea pipelines are laid across the Victoria Habour. It will be shown in the Nautical Chart and Mariners will be aware of the pipeline and will not drop anchor within its vicinity. In addition, it will be buried at least 3m below the seabed and with armour rock protection. This reduces the possibility and the likelihood of the damage caused by routine anchorage. Anchor dropping in the fairway is considered a credible scenario since emergency anchor dropping may occur due to poor weather condition or human error and it will be considered in this assessment.

Vessel Sinking, Fishing and Dredging Activities

Vessel sinking usually involves collision of vessels or is caused by typhoon. The frequency of occurrence for vessel sinking in collision depends on traffic density and frequency. Vessel sinking may lead to impact on the proposed submarine gas pipe. Amongst fishing activities, bottom trawling is the most likely fishing method that causes damage to the proposed gas pipe. Moreover, the gas pipe may be damaged by cutting heads in dredging operations. Damage to the gas pipe can also be caused by anchors for restraining the dredger.  

7.5.4.2         Internal Causes

Corrosion

Internal corrosion could occur due to the presence of moisture and contaminants in the gas. The proposed pipeline will carry dry town gas which is not expected to have any moisture. The pipe will be coated with appropriate coating materials internally and externally to prevent corrosion. Regular inspection and maintenance will be carried out for gas pipes to ensure the pipe integrity.

Material Defect

Material defect of pipeline including welding failure and mechanical strength failure could occur for various reasons. Selection of pipe materials will follow international standard to ensure material quality. Welding of pipe materials will be subject to 100% non-destructive tests which can ensure all the welds are acceptable. The proposed pipeline will be subject to strength test and leak test after construction which would prevent any mechanical failure due to material defects. However, historical data showed that material failure leading to loss of containment is credible and it will be included in our assessment.

 

Construction Defect

Construction defect for pipeline include defects during welding and defects during coating. Under HKCG’s requirements, all underground and submarine pipelines, as well as most of the piping at gas pigging stations (except at instrument connections for valves, pig traps etc.) have to be welded. HKCG has rigorous procedures to ensure the integrity of the welding parts. All the weldings in HKCG pipelines have to comply with international welding standards. Prior to the commission of work, the welding procedures submitted by the contractor has to be verified by HKCG, and test welds have to be carried out the destructive testing for qualification. The welding works have to be carried out by qualified welders. Finally, all the welded parts will be checked using X-ray test to ensure the welding quality.

The underground pipe, aboveground pipe and submarine gas pipelines will have appropriate coating for protection.

All the pipe joints will achieve the coating quality as good as the pipeline as according to the design standards.

7.6               Risk Assessment

7.6.1           Risk Evaluation

A risk ranking approach adopted in other Publics Works Programme in accordance with technical circulars of Development Bureau [4] is adopted to evaluate the potential risk associated to the public with the proposed new gas pigging station at To Kwa Wan. A 5x5 risk matrix (Table 7.1) is utilized to evaluate the risk. The risk evaluation criteria for consequence and likelihood are depicted in Table 7.2 and Table 7.3 respectively.

Table 7.1:      5x5 Risk Assessment Matrix

 

 

Consequences

 

 

Insignificant

Minor

Moderate

Major

Catastrophic

Probability (Likelihood)

Rare

Low

Low

Low

Medium

Medium

Unlikely

Low

Low

Medium

Medium

High

Possible

Low

Medium

Medium

High

High

Likely

Medium

Medium

High

High

Very High

Frequent

Medium

High

High

Very High

Extreme

Table 7.2:      Consequence Evaluation Criteria

Descriptor

Description of Consequences

Insignificant

No injury

Minor

Minor injury

Moderate

A number of injury / hospitalization

Major

Extensive injuries / long term treatment

Catastrophic

Fatality

Table 7.3:      Likelihood Evaluation Criteria

Descriptor

Description of Frequency

Rare

Event may occur in exceptional circumstances (Can be assumed not to occur over the life time of the facility

Unlikely

Event is unlikely to occur, but it is possible during the life time of the facility

Possible

Event could occur during life time of the facility

Likely

Event likely to occur once or more during  the life time of the facility

Frequent / Almost Certain

Event occurs many times during the life time of the facility

7.6.2           Risk Ranking for the Underground Pipelines

7.6.2.1         During Construction

As discussed in Section 7.5.2, construction of the underground pipe does not impose any risk of town gas leakage since the proposed pipelines will not be filled up with town gas during construction phase, hence, they will not impose additional risk to the surrounding population and the risk level is low.

7.6.2.2         During Operation

Risk mitigation measures have already been adopted in the design of the underground pipe to lower the risk level. Utility mapping will be conducted to identify any underground utility along the proposed pipeline alignment before any construction work commences. Drawings of the existing gas pipelines must be obtained prior to any excavation as required by the Hong Kong Gas Safety Ordinance.

The qualitative risk assessment of failure of the underground pipelines based on different failure causes is shown in Table 7.4 according to the risk rating criteria in Table 7.1. The likelihood of a loss of containment scenario is based on the causes considered in Section 7.5.4. According to the risk matrix, for any high risk item, further risk mitigation measures should be considered as necessary to reduce the risk; for moderate risk item, further risk mitigation measures should be considered to reduce the risk to as low as reasonably practicable; and low risk item, further risk mitigation measures are not considered necessary since the risk is considered broadly acceptable.

Table 7.4:      Risk Assessment of Different Failure Causes of the Underground Pipelines during Operation

Scenario

Likelihood of Occurrence

Consequence to Public

Risk Level

External Causes

Natural Event

·   Earthquake

Rare

Moderate

Low

·   Subsidence / Landslides

Rare

Moderate

Low

·   Severe Environmental Event

Rare

Moderate

Low

Third Party Damage

Rare

Moderate

Low

Internal Causes

Corrosion

Unlikely

Minor

Low

Material Defect

Rare

Moderate

Low

7.6.3           Risk Ranking for the Submarine Pipelines

7.6.3.1         During Construction

As discussed in Section 7.5.3, construction of the submarine pipe does not impose any risk of town gas leakage since the proposed facilities will not be filled up with town gas during construction phase. Risk control and mitigation measures will be adopted to reduce the risk due to marine traffic, including:

1.    Proper general traffic management measures.

2.    Minimisation of works activity footprint – dredging and backfilling.

3.    Safety provision during dredging and backfilling.

4.    Liaison with relevant Government Departments before and during construction stage.

5.    Requirements during the submarine pipe pulling.

With the implementation of the above mitigation measures, the risk during the construction phase is expected to be low.

7.6.3.2         During Operation

Risk mitigation measures to prevent the damage of submarine pipeline during operation will be adopted. They are listed as follows:

1.    The submarine gas pipeline will be covered by armour rock, damage from marine vessels could be prevented.

2.    After the submarine pipeline is installed and will be tested to the design standards.

3.    According to HKCG's past record, pigging operation will normally be carried out once in every ten years.

The qualitative risk assessment of failure of the submarine pipe based on different failure causes is shown in Table 7.5 according to the risk rating criteria in Table 7.1. The likelihood of a loss of containment scenario is based on the causes considered in Section 7.5.4. According to the risk matrix, for any high risk item, further risk mitigation measures should be considered as necessary to reduce the risk; for moderate risk item, further risk mitigation measures should be considered to reduce the risk to as low as reasonably practicable; and low risk item, further risk mitigation measures are not considered necessary since the risk is considered broadly acceptable.

Table 7.5:      Risk Assessment of Different Failure Causes of the Submarine Pipelines during Operation

Scenario

Likelihood of Occurrence

Consequence to Public

Risk Level

External Causes

Natural Event

 

·   Earthquake

Rare

Minor

Low

·   Severe Environmental Event

Rare

Minor

Low

Third Party Damage

Rare

Minor

Low

Anchor Drop/ Drag

Unlikely

Minor

Low

Vessel Sinking

Unlikely

Minor

Low

Fishing

Rare

Minor

Low

Dredging Activity

Unlikely

Minor

Low

Internal Causes

Corrosion

Unlikely

Insignificant

Low

Material Defect

Rare

Minor

Low

The risk of the proposed gas pigging stations, the underground and submarine pipelines has been assessed qualitatively and found at low risk level. Apart from qualitative assessment, a quantitative risk assessment has been conducted by HKCG, and both the individual risk and societal risk results for the submarine gas pipelines and the two gas pigging stations have been found “Acceptable” as per risk guidelines in Hong Kong. Their individual risks do not reach 1x10-5 per year and their societal risks are shown in Figures 7.3, 7.4 and 7.5 respectively. Therefore, it can be concluded that the risk level of the Project to the surrounding public is low and acceptable.

7.7               Summary

A risk assessment study has been conducted for the relocation of the existing submarine gas pipeline and the associated facilities. The assessment has considered various failure causes for towngas leakage. Based on the evaluation of potential safety impacts, the risk associated with the proposed realigned gas facilities is considered low. Notwithstanding the low level of risk, risk minimisation measures have been incorporated into the design to further lower the risk and safeguard population in vicinity.

Though it can be concluded that there are no insurmountable risks associated with the construction and operation of the proposed gas pigging stations based on the risk ranking analysis, a quantitative risk assessment has been conducted by HKCG.  Both the individual risk and societal risk results for the submarine gas pipelines and the two gas pigging stations have been found “Acceptable” as per risk guidelines in Hong Kong. Therefore, it can be concluded that the risk level of the Project to the surrounding public is low and acceptable.